Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 13.264062 15.518834 17.980405 20.859393 24.125929 27.708590 31.926610
2025-03-30 9.967837 13.169521 17.028762 21.982399 28.126943 35.450267 44.785793
2025-04-06 7.416744 10.842957 15.321732 21.512777 29.741961 40.186238 54.306467
2025-04-13 5.536978 8.863660 13.535150 20.419022 30.119131 43.087762 61.479453
2025-04-20 4.807133 8.289940 13.472582 21.507595 33.357251 49.845253 74.089851
2025-04-27 4.313316 7.949504 13.644533 22.872293 37.021943 57.386096 88.250093
2025-05-04 3.725438 7.333694 13.275894 23.323687 39.314334 63.072066 100.110841
2025-05-11 3.151026 6.623924 12.633336 23.224802 40.692747 67.440855 110.263911
2025-05-18 2.631469 5.907687 11.861517 22.788519 41.440679 70.837246 119.098088
2025-05-25 2.208297 5.288653 11.159701 22.361329 42.116021 74.103631 127.860901
2025-06-01 1.855552 4.738441 10.496380 21.903562 42.659407 77.142205 136.383996
2025-06-08 1.488019 4.076633 9.515523 20.732687 41.827632 77.827852 141.107869
2025-06-15 1.348249 3.920077 9.557662 21.577264 44.799212 85.301050 157.816221
2025-06-22 1.226409 3.785987 9.638856 22.532649 48.108034 93.664541 176.687574
2025-06-29 1.011786 3.364396 9.029956 22.015560 48.598273 97.149483 187.499584
2025-07-06 0.797961 2.881416 8.191295 20.892988 47.783304 98.211930 194.135249
2025-07-13 0.743492 2.837054 8.376351 22.001805 51.481471 107.711445 216.174850
2025-07-20 0.707400 2.839224 8.674663 23.393017 55.860397 118.727271 241.497618
2025-07-27 0.631195 2.693465 8.573495 23.853163 58.338384 126.300405 260.945935
2025-08-03 0.542467 2.478551 8.252549 23.752341 59.609564 131.625891 276.514991
2025-08-10 0.454985 2.237781 7.815090 23.307543 60.082732 135.403829 289.359685
2025-08-17 0.381496 2.021867 7.405028 22.871993 60.524144 139.124078 302.260017
2025-08-24 0.318667 1.823249 7.005284 22.405243 60.841247 142.593039 314.828655